Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.183469 0.205698 0.228902 0.254875 0.283079 0.312721 0.346175
2025-02-09 0.153999 0.184236 0.217342 0.256087 0.299989 0.347994 0.404248
2025-02-16 0.133905 0.169541 0.210194 0.259588 0.317548 0.382971 0.461947
2025-02-23 0.121400 0.161605 0.209145 0.268787 0.340856 0.424362 0.527624
2025-03-02 0.105804 0.148001 0.199678 0.266534 0.349585 0.448186 0.572832
2025-03-09 0.094015 0.137744 0.193059 0.266649 0.360349 0.474001 0.620454
2025-03-16 0.083490 0.127946 0.185960 0.265200 0.368440 0.496153 0.663617
2025-03-23 0.077153 0.123066 0.184647 0.270707 0.385064 0.528907 0.720301
2025-03-30 0.069779 0.115976 0.179693 0.270804 0.394259 0.552105 0.765139
2025-04-06 0.063200 0.109367 0.174795 0.270433 0.402441 0.573828 0.808215
2025-04-13 0.057415 0.103369 0.170234 0.270056 0.410271 0.594954 0.850651
2025-04-20 0.053041 0.099105 0.167791 0.272336 0.421539 0.620620 0.899300
2025-04-27 0.050359 0.097469 0.169353 0.280751 0.442079 0.659900 0.967872
2025-05-04 0.046154 0.092964 0.166260 0.282133 0.452658 0.685880 1.019207
2025-05-11 0.042926 0.089777 0.164932 0.285949 0.466680 0.716763 1.077683
2025-05-18 0.041321 0.089228 0.167653 0.295888 0.489732 0.760543 1.154490
2025-05-25 0.037316 0.084026 0.162541 0.293474 0.494477 0.778712 1.196333
2025-06-01 0.034194 0.080113 0.159233 0.293605 0.502829 0.801968 1.245476
2025-06-08 0.031069 0.075864 0.155047 0.292048 0.508440 0.821266 1.289264
2025-06-15 0.029481 0.074438 0.155554 0.297984 0.525500 0.857261 1.357077
2025-06-22 0.027098 0.071172 0.152619 0.298090 0.533477 0.880112 1.406499
2025-06-29 0.024850 0.067939 0.149509 0.297692 0.540539 0.901631 1.454241
2025-07-06 0.022799 0.064893 0.146514 0.297285 0.547465 0.922961 1.501931